HNI SHORT VEGA — Validation Dashboard

Intraday ATM index option seller · 5-minute  ·  NIFTY + FINNIFTY + MIDCPNIFTY  ·  in-sample 2023-01-03 to 2026-07-30  ·  824 sessions

Directional signal with a confirmation filter, one position at a time, flat by the close. Exits on a signal reversal or the 15:15 bell; a few sessions close on an EOD exit.

Backtested results are not a guarantee of future returns. Everything on this page is simulation: no live fills, no order rejections, no margin or peak-margin constraint, and options marked at last-traded price. Slippage is charged at rates measured once from live depth and held constant across 43 months.

Capital required

MINIMUM
₹7,00,000
7.00 lakh
Peak margin plus one worst-day loss. Workable, but a bad week can force you to skip signals.
COMFORTABLE
₹10,50,000
10.50 lakh
Peak margin stressed 1.4× for a volatility spike, plus the worst drawdown on record. Every signal stays takeable.
INDEXSIZE MARGIN (TYPICAL)95th PCTILE
FINNIFTY1 lot × 65₹2,07,870₹2,19,960
MIDCPNIFTY1 lot × 120₹1,96,560₹2,10,960
NIFTY1 lot × 75₹2,23,650₹2,34,900
Peak concurrent ₹6,58,140 2025-12-01

How these are derived. Margin is taken at 12% of ATM notional — the usual SPAN + exposure band for a naked short index option — on strikes and lot sizes from the last twelve months (2025-07-30 to 2026-07-30). Because the strategy holds one position per index and the legs overlap on the clock, the binding number is peak concurrent margin (₹6,58,140), not the sum of the individual legs.

To that we add the cash that has to be sitting there and not working: the worst single day on record (₹27,600) for the minimum, and the worst peak-to-trough drawdown (₹81,025) for the comfortable figure, with margin stressed 1.4× because SPAN rises exactly when the drawdown arrives.

Read this before sizing. Below the minimum you are not running this strategy — you are running a smaller, worse version of it, because a rejected order on a margin shortfall is a signal missed, and the misses are not random: they cluster right after losses. Margin is set by the exchange and broker and changes without notice; these are working estimates, not quotations. Lot sizes are revised periodically and have already risen over the backtest window, so treat the requirement as a floor that drifts upward.

Equity curve

Drawdown

Monthly P&L (thousands of rupees, after the selected cost model)

What the cost model does to the result

Per-index breakdown

Sample trade log

Timeframe: 5-minute. Stop loss: No stop loss. 35% and 45% improved Calmar but cost 11-13% of net; tight stops (15-25%) actively hurt.